Middle East air cargo to lead growth through 2028

Middle East air cargo continued to outperform the global market in the last year, supported by steady demand for e-commerce, pharmaceuticals, perishables, and electronics, according to data collated by DHL Global Forwarding. While global air cargo demand rose about 4 per cent year-on-year through November, Middle East and Africa (MEA) lanes recorded stronger growth, driven by the region’s role as a major transshipment hub. 

Traffic through key Gulf hubs increased as shippers moved cargo between Asia, Europe, and Africa. Ex-MEA routes were among the strongest-performing trade lanes globally in 2025, according to market indicators, reflecting continued reliance on Middle East carriers for long-haul connectivity. Africa–Middle East flows remained active, particularly for perishables and pharma shipments moving northbound. 

On the other hand, capacity growth in the region stayed controlled. Global air cargo capacity rose around 2 per cent year on year in December, and Middle East airlines largely matched this pace, supported by recovering passenger belly capacity and stable freighter operations. Load factors across the region remained broadly stable, avoiding the sharp swings seen in some other markets. 

On the trade front, the India–Oman Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement signed in 2025 is expected to support cargo growth on South Asia–Gulf routes. Looking ahead, Airports Council International forecasts the Middle East to remain a leading air cargo growth region through 2028, backed by infrastructure investment and rising e-commerce demand.