Gulf air cargo rebound as USA, Europe exports rise

Air cargo demand from the Middle East has rebounded in early 2026 after the usual end-of-year slowdown. Data from the first full week of January shows a 16 per cent year-on-year increase in tonnage from Middle East & South Asia (MESA) origins, with Dubai leading the growth. Traffic from the region to the USA rose by 10 per cent, while volumes to Europe grew 16 per cent, driven largely by shipments from Dubai, India, and Bangladesh. 

This rebound follows similar trends seen in late 2025, when MESA-origin markets recorded 11–13 per cent growth in November and December. The rise in air cargo reflects stronger trade flows, including essential and perishable goods, as exporters move more products from the region to global markets. 

Some container shipping services via the Red Sea and Suez Canal have also returned recently, though volumes remain below pre-2023 levels due to ongoing geopolitical tensions. The limited resumption of sea routes may be supporting higher air cargo volumes from the Middle East. 

Spot rates for Middle East exports have eased, down 21 per cent year-on-year, indicating that supply is catching up with demand. Despite lower rates, the region’s air cargo logistics remain dynamic, with capacity and connectivity gradually improving to meet growing trade with Europe, North America, and other global markets.