Gulf routes see 7% growth YoY, states DHL report

According to a report by DHL Global Forwarding, air cargo demand in the Middle East is rising sharply, led by stronger trade with Asia and Europe. December 2025 recorded a 7% year-on-year increase globally, the highest in the second half of 2025, with Asia–Middle East routes among the fastest-growing segments. Airlines are shifting capacity from transpacific routes to focus on Asia–Middle East and Europe–Middle East trade, keeping regional hubs busy and driving faster cargo flows.

Capacity remains tight despite some growth. Global freighter capacity rose 5% in January 2026, but retirements and limited new deliveries mean shortages persist. E-commerce demand, Lunar New Year shipping surges, and geopolitical factors are expected to maintain short-term volatility, keeping freight rates firm in the Gulf and surrounding markets.

Regulatory changes are also in focus. The EU’s EASA Opinion 01/2026 proposes updates to flight operations and training standards, potentially impacting carriers on Middle East–Europe routes. FAA airworthiness directives affecting Boeing 787 cargo configurations may influence airline maintenance schedules and operational planning.

Network expansions are underway, with carriers like Lufthansa Cargo adding new destinations in Europe and North Africa, indirectly boosting Middle East connectivity. Strong demand, tight capacity, and evolving regulations make 2026 a critical year for air freight in the Middle East, positioning regional hubs at the center of global trade flows.